Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 4.088273 4.903376 5.812311 6.897164 8.152671 9.555799 11.238216
2025-03-02 2.733895 3.716442 4.930091 6.523968 8.544736 11.002653 14.197409
2025-03-09 2.039493 3.087605 4.499079 6.504293 9.239011 12.792494 17.704474
2025-03-16 1.589232 2.648251 4.186757 6.524757 9.914505 14.564844 21.320544
2025-03-23 1.261271 2.296238 3.907115 6.506487 10.482148 16.196666 24.855076
2025-03-30 0.966128 1.920212 3.508731 6.223895 10.591277 17.146559 27.469293
2025-04-06 0.792021 1.704312 3.317495 6.217676 11.090187 18.678430 31.022252
2025-04-13 0.649557 1.510448 3.123674 6.166252 11.490279 20.068989 34.444629
2025-04-20 0.585377 1.453234 3.160111 6.508593 12.564618 22.593422 39.801096
2025-04-27 0.516662 1.370019 3.131254 6.722810 13.430485 24.835148 44.851135
2025-05-04 0.468737 1.321041 3.159402 7.041785 14.503934 27.491461 50.743979
2025-05-11 0.397079 1.199127 3.016762 7.007107 14.922095 29.052220 54.900170
2025-05-18 0.318981 1.042705 2.777271 6.753769 14.920356 29.910567 57.979670
2025-05-25 0.251812 0.894805 2.528166 6.442417 14.768917 30.484209 60.602124
2025-06-01 0.214115 0.818061 2.430608 6.442525 15.231310 32.206092 65.364893
2025-06-08 0.183713 0.753696 2.350885 6.469786 15.747913 34.060868 70.478132
2025-06-15 0.156254 0.689587 2.258979 6.454111 16.168435 35.755728 75.392895
2025-06-22 0.123958 0.596663 2.069718 6.174331 15.984286 36.249569 78.074832
2025-06-29 0.105833 0.548416 1.995444 6.168453 16.403342 37.966805 83.185324
2025-07-06 0.089284 0.499595 1.908929 6.117485 16.711816 39.475919 87.973230
2025-07-13 0.084360 0.497805 1.966603 6.457534 17.962170 43.009155 96.934277
2025-07-20 0.076926 0.482142 1.977236 6.670316 18.927633 46.001937 104.968072
2025-07-27 0.072206 0.477424 2.023059 6.987150 20.171182 49.657403 114.515551